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Abstract Accurate estimation of crop yield predictions is of great importance for food security under the impact of climate change. We propose a data-driven crop model that combines the knowledge advantage of process-based modeling and the computational advantage of data-driven modeling. The proposed model tracks the daily biomass accumulation process during the maize growing season and uses daily produced biomass to estimate the final grain yield. Computational studies using crop yield, field location, genotype and corresponding environmental data were conducted in the US Corn Belt region from 1981 to 2020. The results suggest that the proposed model can achieve an accurate prediction performance with a 7.16% relative root-mean-square-error of average yield in 2020 and provide scientifically explainable results. The model also demonstrates its ability to detect and separate interactions between genotypic parameters and environmental variables. Additionally, this study demonstrates the potential value of the proposed model in helping farmers achieve higher yields by optimizing seed selection.
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Abstract Motivation Epistasis, which is the phenomenon of genetic interactions, plays a central role in many scientific discoveries. However, due to the combinatorial nature of the problem, it is extremely challenging to decipher the exact combinations of genes that trigger the epistatic effects. Many existing methods only focus on two-way interactions. Some of the most effective methods used machine learning techniques, but many were designed for special case-and-control studies or suffer from overfitting. We propose three new algorithms for multi-effect and multi-way epistases detection, with one guaranteeing global optimality and the other two being local optimization oriented heuristics.
Results The computational performance of the proposed heuristic algorithm was compared with several state-of-the-art methods using a yeast dataset. Results suggested that searching for the global optimal solution could be extremely time consuming, but the proposed heuristic algorithm was much more effective and efficient than others at finding a close-to-optimal solution. Moreover, it was able to provide biological insight on the exact configurations of epistases, besides achieving a higher prediction accuracy than the state-of-the-art methods.
Availability and implementation Data source was publicly available and details are provided in the text.
